No Jim Cramer, We Haven’t Hit Bottom Yet: The Number Of Current Foreclosures Is Up 121 Percent – Slowly Creeping Towards One Million U.S. Homes
Despite what people are saying, things are getting worse. As foreclosures continue to creep closer to major metropolitan areas, and out of outskirt areas, more and more people will be bit.
Even if some talking (or yelling) heads like Jim Cramer suggest that the we’ve “hit bottom” and that the real estate market is now poised to improve and we can consider the bubble popped, the numbers show otherwise.
RealtyTrac® (realtytrac.com), the leading online marketplace for foreclosure properties, today released its Q2 2008 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report™, which shows foreclosure filings were reported on 739,714 U.S. properties during the second quarter, a nearly 14 percent increase from the previous quarter and a 121 percent increase from the second quarter of 2007. The report also shows that one in every 171 U.S. households received a foreclosure filing during the quarter.
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“Although much of the fallout from foreclosures is being driven by rampant activity in a few states, such as Nevada, California, Florida, Ohio, Arizona and Michigan, most areas of the country are seeing at least some increase in foreclosure activity,” said James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. “Forty-eight of 50 states and 95 out of the nation’s 100 largest metro areas experienced year-over-year increases in foreclosure activity in the second quarter.
“Bank repossessions, or REOs, accounted for 30 percent of total foreclosure activity in the second quarter, up from 24 percent of the total in the first quarter,” Saccacio continued. “This shift in the distribution of activity indicates that there is a progression toward purging the problem loans out of the system — at which point the housing market can regain some sense of normalcy. Of course if another surge in defaults occurs, which could well happen later this year, it would refill the foreclosure pipeline and prolong the recovery.”
Nevada, California, Arizona post top state foreclosure rates
One in every 43 Nevada households received a foreclosure filing during the second quarter, the highest foreclosure rate among the states and nearly four times the national average. Foreclosure filings were reported on 24,657 Nevada properties during the quarter, up 26 percent from the previous quarter and up 147 percent from the first quarter of 2007.
Foreclosure filings were reported on 202,599 California properties during the second quarter, the highest total among the states and a rate of one in every 65 households — the nation’s second highest state foreclosure rate. Foreclosure activity in California increased 19 percent from the previous quarter and was nearly three times the level reported in the second quarter of 2007.
With one in every 70 households receiving a foreclosure filing, Arizona posted the nation’s third highest state foreclosure rate in the second quarter. Foreclosure filings were reported on 37,230 Arizona properties during the quarter, up nearly 36 percent from the previous quarter and close to four times the number reported in the second quarter of 2007.
Florida documented the nation’s fourth highest state foreclosure rate in the second quarter, with one in every 78 households receiving a foreclosure filing during the quarter — more than twice the national average. Foreclosure filings were reported on 109,433 Florida properties during the quarter, the second highest total of any state and an increase of nearly 25 percent from the previous quarter.
Despite a nearly 15 percent quarterly decrease in foreclosure activity in the second quarter, Colorado posted the nation’s fifth highest state foreclosure rate — one in every 129 Colorado households received a foreclosure filing during the quarter. Second quarter foreclosure activity in Colorado was still up more than 50 percent from the second quarter of 2007.
Foreclosure filings were reported on 37,689 Ohio properties in the second quarter, the third highest total among the states and a rate of one in every 134 households — the nation’s sixth highest state foreclosure rate. Second quarter foreclosure activity in Ohio was up nearly 21 percent from the previous quarter and nearly 27 percent from the second quarter of 2007.
With foreclosure filings reported on 32,868 properties during the second quarter, Michigan notched the fifth highest total among the states. One in every 137 Michigan households received a foreclosure filing during the quarter, the nation’s seventh highest state foreclosure rate.
Other states with foreclosure rates among the top 10 were Georgia, Massachusetts and Illinois.
So the next time an agent or self-professed economics expert tells you that things are looking up, be cautious. Caution can only save you money, time, and heartache. Carelessness on the other hand, could cost you much more.
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